Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
NOT
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 2
BBU
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 1
SHW
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
NOT
0 - 0
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |