Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 3
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
BRA
3 - 0
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
NEW
4 - 3
SHE
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
NEW
4 - 0
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1914 |
BUR
2 - 0
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |