Aston Villa vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 6
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
NEW
3 - 1
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
PNE
4 - 1
NEW
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
MUD
2 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |