Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1953 |
SHW
3 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
LIV
6 - 1
ASV
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1953 |
MID
3 - 3
WOL
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
OPA
0 - 2
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1953 |
MID
0 - 1
BPO
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
MID
2 - 0
SHE
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |