Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
BUR
2 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1950 |
HUR
4 - 2
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 3
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
MID
1 - 1
FUL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 0
MID
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1950 |
MID
1 - 1
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
WOL
3 - 4
MID
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
MID
8 - 0
HUR
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |