Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 2
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
LIV
0 - 1
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
MID
4 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1914 |
MID
6 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
56%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1914 |
MID
2 - 3
SHE
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1914 |
BUR
1 - 2
MID
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |