Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
TOT
3 - 3
ASV
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
BBU
2 - 2
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
ASV
10 - 0
SHW
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
EVE
0 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
MID
3 - 2
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 3
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
SUN
4 - 0
MID
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
MID
1 - 1
TOT
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
DER
0 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |