Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BRI
0 - 0
ASV
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHW
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
1 - 2
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
7 - 1
MUD
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
MID
1 - 0
PNE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 1
MID
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
MID
4 - 3
TOT
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |