Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
PNE
3 - 2
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
BRI
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
NEW
0 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
ASV
1 - 1
NOT
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
MID
1 - 2
SHE
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 1
MID
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
MID
1 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1908 |
MAC
0 - 0
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1908 |
SHW
3 - 2
MID
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |