Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
58.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 1
TOT
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
WIG
1 - 2
ASV
27%
25%
47%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
CHL
4 - 4
ASV
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
79%
15%
6%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
WHU
2 - 1
MUD
14%
22%
63%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 4
MUD
11%
21%
69%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
MUD
2 - 1
EVE
71%
18%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 1
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |