Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
ASV
3 - 0
FUL
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
LEE
0 - 0
ASV
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BBU
0 - 2
ASV
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
ASV
3 - 2
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
MID
0 - 1
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
3 - 2
EVE
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TOT
1 - 2
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
MUD
2 - 0
STU
75%
15%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |