Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1992 |
ASV
0 - 0
BBU
65%
21%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
ASV
2 - 1
OXF
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1992 |
WIM
2 - 3
ASV
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
MID
2 - 3
ASV
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
BBU
0 - 0
MUD
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
MUD
2 - 2
LIV
46%
26%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
MUD
1 - 0
BHA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1992 |
MID
1 - 1
MUD
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1992 |
TOR
0 - 0
MUD
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |