Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
SHE
2 - 1
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 2
QPR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
ARS
0 - 0
ASV
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1976 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
44%
29%
28%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
LEI
1 - 2
MUD
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
COV
1 - 1
MUD
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
MUD
3 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
TOT
1 - 1
MUD
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |