Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
BUR
4 - 2
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
ASV
1 - 1
NTT
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
FUL
5 - 1
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
ASV
3 - 2
WBA
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
TOT
0 - 1
ASV
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
LEI
1 - 2
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
MUD
5 - 0
SUN
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1966 |
SOU
1 - 2
MUD
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHW
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |