Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
BUR
3 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
2 - 3
MUD
43%
22%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
PNE
3 - 4
MUD
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
MUD
4 - 1
LEI
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
0 - 4
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |