Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
TOT
6 - 2
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 0
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
NEW
2 - 4
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
SHW
1 - 0
MUD
32%
21%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1958 |
FUL
3 - 5
MUD
26%
21%
54%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 2
FUL
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
29%
23%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
MUD
0 - 4
WBA
73%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |