Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1957 |
ASV
1 - 3
LUT
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 0
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1957 |
MUD
1 - 1
WBA
78%
14%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1957 |
CAR
2 - 3
MUD
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
MUD
2 - 2
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
MUD
2 - 0
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
SUN
76%
14%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |