Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
SHW
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHL
53%
22%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
PNE
3 - 3
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
ARS
2 - 1
ASV
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
LUT
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1956 |
BVB
0 - 0
MUD
30%
22%
48%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 2
LEE
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 0
MUD
33%
24%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |