Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
16%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
TOT
1 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
4 - 0
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1954 |
ASV
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1954 |
SHE
1 - 3
ASV
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
16%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1954 |
OPA
0 - 0
MUD
48%
21%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 4
MUD
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1954 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEI
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1954 |
WBA
2 - 0
MUD
50%
21%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |