Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
0 - 1
WOL
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
CHL
4 - 0
ASV
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1952 |
WOL
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 5
BPO
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
3 - 0
SUN
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1952 |
DER
2 - 3
MUD
42%
23%
35%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1952 |
OPA
2 - 0
MUD
44%
24%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1952 |
MUD
0 - 0
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
MAC
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |