Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
SHE
3 - 1
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 2
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1948 |
ASV
3 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1948 |
HUR
0 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 2
WOL
61%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1948 |
GRI
1 - 1
MUD
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 1
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1948 |
MUD
4 - 1
PNE
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |