Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
3 - 3
CHL
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
0 - 2
ASV
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 3
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
SHE
3 - 4
ASV
56%
20%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1930 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
36%
23%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1930 |
BOL
3 - 1
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
5 - 0
MUD
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
MUD
2 - 1
DER
36%
24%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
BBU
4 - 1
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |