Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
GRI
0 - 2
ASV
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
ASV
3 - 0
LEI
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 2
EVE
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 0
MUD
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
2 - 5
GRI
61%
20%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1929 |
SHE
3 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |