Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 2
ASV
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
ASV
10 - 0
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 0
NTT
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
4 - 3
BBU
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
0 - 1
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
3 - 0
ASV
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
WHU
1 - 0
MUD
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
BAR
0 - 0
MUD
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
MUD
4 - 0
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |