Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 0
ASV
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
LIV
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
PNE
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 1
TOT
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |