Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 2
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHE
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
ASV
0 - 2
PNE
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
0 - 0
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
1 - 1
SHE
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 3
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 0
OLD
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |