Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 2
SUN
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 3
BBU
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
CHL
0 - 0
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
ASV
3 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
MUD
3 - 4
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 4
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1910 |
PNE
1 - 0
MUD
42%
25%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
MUD
5 - 0
TOT
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
MUD
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |