Aston Villa vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
5 - 1
SHE
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
ASV
3 - 2
BRI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
0 - 0
LIV
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
1 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 0
MUD
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
9%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
3 - 0
MUD
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |