Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
WBA
1 - 2
ASV
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1980 |
ASV
1 - 0
BBU
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
BBU
1 - 1
ASV
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
51%
27%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
ASV
2 - 0
CRY
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
NTT
4 - 0
MAC
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
MAC
1 - 1
LEE
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
COV
0 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
MAC
1 - 3
WBA
51%
24%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |