Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 2
PNE
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1955 |
SHE
2 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
ASV
0 - 2
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
CHA
3 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
ASV
1 - 0
LUT
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1955 |
MAC
3 - 2
LUT
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1955 |
BUR
2 - 2
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1955 |
MAC
1 - 2
NEW
50%
21%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1955 |
EVE
1 - 1
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1955 |
MAC
1 - 2
TOT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |