Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
16.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
GRI
4 - 1
ASV
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
MAC
1 - 3
LEE
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
SHW
1 - 0
MAC
57%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
MAC
7 - 0
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAC
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |