Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 2
ASV
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 2
STO
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1934 |
HUR
2 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1934 |
ASV
1 - 1
OPA
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1934 |
ASV
2 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1934 |
MAC
1 - 0
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1934 |
LEE
3 - 1
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1934 |
BBU
3 - 0
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 0
MAC
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1934 |
MAC
5 - 2
MID
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |