Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
LEE
0 - 2
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 0
SHE
76%
14%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 3
NEW
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
OPA
5 - 0
ASV
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
ASV
4 - 1
BPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
MAC
1 - 1
WHU
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
MAC
0 - 1
HUR
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
MAC
3 - 0
BBU
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAC
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |