Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
WHU
5 - 2
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
ASV
5 - 1
SHE
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
NEW
2 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
ASV
3 - 0
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
MID
2 - 3
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BBU
1 - 3
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
MAC
3 - 2
LEI
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 1
HUR
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1929 |
SHE
1 - 2
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |