Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1921 |
ASV
2 - 1
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
ASV
2 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1921 |
DER
2 - 3
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
1 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |