Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 0
HUR
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
SHW
77%
13%
9%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1920 |
BBU
5 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
NOT
2 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 6
BOL
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1920 |
NEW
3 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |