Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
2 - 2
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
6 - 2
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLD
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
MAC
4 - 0
WBA
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1915 |
SHE
0 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |