Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1913 |
ASV
4 - 2
SHE
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
BOL
2 - 3
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 1
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1913 |
BBU
2 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1913 |
MAC
2 - 2
SHW
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
EVE
0 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |