Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 2
ASV
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
0 - 0
BRA
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
6 - 1
OLD
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
1 - 0
SHE
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 3
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
MUD
0 - 0
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
4 - 0
NOT
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
MID
3 - 1
MAC
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |