Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
MID
1 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
2 - 4
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
MUD
0 - 2
ASV
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
1 - 3
SHE
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
2 - 1
NTT
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |