Aston Villa vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
LEE
4 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
ASV
0 - 1
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 0
LEE
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
LEE
0 - 2
LUT
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
LUT
3 - 1
WOL
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
LUT
2 - 0
BPO
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 0
LUT
68%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1957 |
BPO
1 - 2
LUT
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |