Aston Villa vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 0
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
ASV
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHW
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1957 |
LUT
1 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1957 |
SHW
3 - 0
LUT
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 2
LUT
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 2
MUD
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
CAR
0 - 0
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |