Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 0
ASV
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ASV
1 - 0
BPO
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ASV
0 - 0
CRY
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 0
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
SWA
1 - 0
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
LIV
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
LIV
8%
15%
76%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 2
LEI
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 1
SWA
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 1
LIV
11%
19%
70%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |