Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
SUN
3 - 3
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
DER
4 - 2
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 1
SUN
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 0
WBA
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
OPA
5 - 1
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 0
LIV
62%
20%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 1
MUD
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
WOL
2 - 0
LIV
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 3
HUR
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |