Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BOL
4 - 3
ASV
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
ASV
1 - 1
EVE
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
DER
1 - 3
ASV
64%
18%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1936 |
ASV
2 - 2
BRE
71%
15%
13%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1936 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
47%
22%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
BIR
2 - 0
LIV
49%
23%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
LIV
0 - 3
SUN
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
WBA
6 - 1
LIV
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1936 |
GRI
0 - 0
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |