Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
LEI
3 - 0
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
ASV
0 - 1
DER
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
DER
5 - 0
ASV
56%
20%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
ASV
5 - 4
SHW
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
BOL
3 - 1
ASV
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
LIV
2 - 2
BUR
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHE
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
0 - 2
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
66%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |