Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
BBU
3 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
3 - 0
TOT
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
MAC
4 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
LIV
4 - 2
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHE
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BBU
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BCF
0 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |