Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
ASV
1 - 1
SHE
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEE
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
LEE
6 - 0
ASV
27%
29%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 0
BUR
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
MAC
5 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
42%
29%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |