Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 3
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 4
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
4 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
4 - 1
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
0 - 0
BUR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |