Aston Villa vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 2
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
BUR
4 - 0
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
LIV
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
0 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
LIV
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |